Is Biden On Course for a Blowout Victory?
The above headline comes courtesy of the Financial Times.
The accompanying story states:
With just over three weeks to go until US election day, Joe Biden has a significant polling advantage over Donald Trump, pointing to a potential blowout victory for the Democratic presidential challenger on November 3…
A flurry of polls conducted since the first acrimonious presidential debate and Mr Trump’s hospitalisation for coronavirus show that Mr Biden’s lead has widened at a time when millions of Americans have already voted or plan to do so before election day, either by mail or in person…
Several national polls have recently shown Mr Biden, the former vice-president, ahead by double digits, while an Financial Times analysis of RealClearPolitics data puts his lead at nine points. In several battleground states that hold the key to winning the Electoral College, he is also in the lead, albeit by a smaller margin…
An FT analysis of recent state polls gives Mr Biden an almost seven-point advantage in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, and a six-point edge in Wisconsin — three Midwestern states that were crucial in Mr Trump’s come-from-behind victory in 2016.
But there is a small contingent that argues mainstream polls are inaccurate and based on faulty methodology of the pollsters which is designed to promote the idea of Biden momentum more than anything else.
The most impressive pollster holding a contrary view is the non-partisan British polling firm Democratic Institute. DI is the only polling firm that correctly called Brexit and Trump’s 2016 election win. They now show a Trump electoral victory.
If you want all the details of why DI is getting different results, here’s is a 3 hour clip of institute director Patrick Basham discussing why he is showing election results that are different from mainstream results.
The meat of the discussion starts at roughly the 24 minute and 10-second mark.
I don’t trust anything that comes out of mainstream media, especially when it comes to Trump, so there may be something to the DI polling.
I am not a pollster so I don’t have the background to judge, but I wouldn’t mortgage the house and put all the money on Biden blowout victory.
Source: Target Liberty